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A Fable

 

Two brothers—twins, in fact—graduated from high school at the same time. Like all grads, the boys had decisions to make.

The chief decision for a grad is typically a career decision. Many twenty-somethings choose between going to college and going directly into the work force. And those were the choices for the two brothers.

Brother #1—we’ll call him Joe—pondered the dilemma. He could go to college, he thought, but he would be broke for about 5 years. Joe opted to enter the work force immediately, citing a higher immediate salary as his rationale.

Then, brother #2—we’ll call him Jack—pondered the same dilemma. Jack thought about the coming 5 years and how poor he would be; however, he also considered the statistics that almost guaranteed a higher salary over the long term.

Joe argued with Jack, proclaiming, “Going to college now will not give you anymore money anytime soon! So, why go?”

Such is the logic of Barack Obama and any other politician who opposes: American oil drilling on the continental shelf, Alaska, the Dakotas, and anywhere else; the expansion of nuclear power; drilling for oil shale; or clean coal technologies.

Drilling now, we are told, will not produce one drop of oil for 10 years, or 30 years according to one fool; therefore, we should not drill.

Going to college will not produce one drop of salary for 5 years; therefore, do not go to college.

This elementary logic, with a false proclamation, discounts several other factors, such as signals to markets and price stability. Still, it persists.

It’s compelling logic from our probable future president.
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Bad for Bush, Good for the Country?

 
Written for publication on 18 June 2008

Bush fatigue has been a growing phenomenon over the past 3 years or so, and it’s abnormally common. While it is normal for the folks in general to be tired of a president during the latter stages of 8 years, President Bush’s popularity numbers are unusually low.

These slumping figures indicate Bush fatigue not just among liberals and moderates, but also among conservatives. George W. Bush was unfairly labeled as “conservative” by his liberal critics (who were out to get him from the first day), even though most conservatives held in 1999 and 2000 that he was moderate and not all that conservative (just look at some of his championed projects: No Child Left Behind, the prescription drug benefit, etc.). Still, his branding as a full-fledged conservative meant that his wrong-headed policies, like those grand liberal ideas just mentioned, were construed as wounds against conservatism.

Still, George W. Bush executed some conservative policies, however (such as tax policy), garnering vigorous defenses from conservatives for such actions. But Bush’s liberal critics continue to smear the president, prompting conservatives to defend him from the overreaches. As time passed, however, Bush’s moderate stances began to annoy conservatives and they began criticizing him on certain grounds while defending him on others. Why? Unfair criticisms served as setbacks for the Republican Party, the political vehicle for conservatism.

But now, many former Bush supporters are now tired of playing the game. They, too, have Bush fatigue, and many of them openly seek defeats of Bush policy. But not all setbacks for George W. Bush are good things.

Take, for example, a friend of mine. I have several friends who are lawyers (so, for those who know me best, it’s not who you think), but one of them—a fairly conservative fellow—has come to be a Bush critic suffering from severe Bush fatigue. The other day we discussed (or, rather, I listened, not wanting to debate my friend on the phone) current events and he described one development that was painted as a setback for the Bush Administration as a positive occurrence. He offered no legal explanation as to why the development was good for the country, but instead explained how it was an end to a Bush policy, that it would stop Bush and Cheney, and so on. I gathered from this conversation that my friend was happy precisely because the development was a setback for Bush.

And the development in question was the recent Supreme Court decision granting habeas corpus rights to illegal combatants in Bouedemine v. Bush.

My friend, and many others (liberal and conservative alike) feel that the president’s Guantanamo Bay policy has been an embarrassment to this country. I understand the sentiments, even though I disagree with many of their views. Bush’s critics set out from the first day to brand Guantanamo as a black eye for the country; thus, in the media, it has become a black eye for the country. But even now, conservatives suffering from Bush fatigue are willing to go along with criticisms of or campaigns against certain Bush policies just to stop the bleeding.

Today, the AP released a story about human rights group claim that the US has tortured its detainees, both in Iraq and Guantanamo Bay. Even though the last line of the article states, “Most former detainees are out of reach,” a line that carries many ramifications, the group (Physicians for Human Rights) claims that torture is ongoing and common.

There are, however, flaws with the group’s charges. Most of what is described in the AP wire sounds like regurgitations of the old Abu Ghuraib affair. The physicians lament the abuse and prolonged damage brought forth on the detainees—11 in all, 7 from Iraq and 4 from Gitmo—all of whom were released “without criminal charges.” Likewise, the majority of the occurrences in question probably happened in the early days of the war, before scrutiny changed US policy. But what these folks forget is that the detainees are not boy scouts. They were detained fighting against US troops.

Criticisms like these and setbacks like Boumediene may have some validity. (We have held these detainees for long periods of time without formally bringing charges; however, we are at war and detainees are usually held for the duration of a war without charges and are often released in the middle of the war without “criminal charges.”) However, they may do more harm than good to the United States.

And that is precisely what liberal critics of conservatives suffering from Bush fatigue forget. Boumediene was a setback for Bush, which, for the sake of argument we will concede, was a “good thing” because it was a setback for Bush. But it is a good thing for the country?

For liberal Democrats, haranguing Bush on the Iraq War was good politics, but was it good for the United States of America? A combination of tactical and strategic errors, heavy criticism in the media and Congress, and a lack of resolve on the part of the Administration after the fact have developed a situation where the Iraq affair will probably be a strategic folly for this nation, even if, like in Vietnam, we “win the war on the ground.” Perception will be reality and Iraq will be a loss, and a loss is in this case would be a terrible setback for the campaign against radical Islamic terrorism.

In the case of Boumediene, stopping George W. Bush’s Gitmo facility (and others like it) would, in theory, help restore America’s reputation abroad. Thus, for many critics, the decision is a positive development. But is it good for the country? Granting habeas corpus rights for unlawful combatants is a huge swing away from standing legal precedent. How will it affect our counter-terror efforts in the future? Will any detainee be allowed to bring a suit in US courts for his freedom? How will that affect combat operations? Will the US lose intelligence due to a lack of interrogations? What happens if we are engaged in a force-on-force conflict of the traditional variety with another country? Will that nation’s POWs be allowed to sue in US courts? Why not? Terrorists who fight with no uniform and no nation were granted those rights.

The glee of the media, liberal Democrats, and conservative critics of George W. Bush will fade some day. In fact, it seems likely that they may regret their glee. There will be a Democrat president some day, and that president will probably face foreign policy crises, and when one those of crises is affected by the impending loss in Iraq, the Boumediene decision, or some other “setback” for Bush, there may be remorse. Until then, it’s whatever harms Bush, even if such an occurrence does severe damage to the United States of America as a whole. Folks who subscribe to this line of thinking should reevaluate their critical thinking skills.

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Chiroux's Bluff

Matthis Chiroux has refused to deploy to Iraq. Chiroux had served 5 years in the Army, including a tour in Afghanistan. He also happens to be a member of the Army's IRR, or individual ready reserve--a pool of ex-soldiers with reserve obligations who are eligible for recall.
 
It is at this point that Matthis Chiroux is calling the US government's bluff.
 
When the Army recalled approximately 5,600 IRR soldiers in 2004, roughly half (according to figures ranging from 1/3 to 51%) bothered to report for duty. Little was done. Many IRR soldiers refused to report or were granted deferments. Chiroux is taking the chance that the government will again take such a course of action while at the same time making a political point.
 
that Chiroux is calling Operation Iraqi Freedom, wherein US troops operate with the blessing of the elected Iraqi government, an "occupation." Never mind that he is calling the war, approved and continually funded by Congress, "illegal and unconstitutional." The Chiroux affair is more about honor.
 
I won't call him a coward, because it does take a certain degree of courage to buck your government blatantly; however, I will charge Chiroux with lacking honor.
 
Back in 2004, I was one of the 5,600 or so ex-soldiers who received orders to return to active duty. It couldn't have come at a worse time, for I had been married two days before the orders were cut and I was due to enter my last term before graduating from college. Yet I fulfilled my contract and answered my country's call.
 
When I arrived at Fort Sill, OK--on my birthday, no less--39 other ex-soldiers were to have been in my group. Only 8 showed.
 
The men and women who did report for duty were neither happy nor eager to leave their families and civilian lives for probable combat. But they went. Why? Most had a sense of duty, a feeling that they had signed contracts, and, most of all, a sense of honor.
 
One man with that sense of honor was Sergeant First Class Heath Paulsen. SFC Paulsen was in my group and served as my leader during part of our mobilization. He ultimately went to Iraq with the 278th Cavalry, though he later hooked up with a Special Forces detachment. During a patrol, his convoy was ambushed and engaged in a lengthy firefight. For his actions in combat, he was awarded a Bronze Star. That is honor.
 
He showed up even though he didn't want to, and still vigorously served his country and his fellow soldiers.
 
What honor is there is shying away from one's obligations? In other contexts: Is it honorable to be an absent parent? Is it honorable to not pay one's mortgage note? Is it honorable to breach any contract?
 
Chiroux's sentiments about the war, however incorrect, are understandable and quite common. Still, he shouldn't shy away from the contract he signed. Instead, he seeks the easier way out.
 
Meanwhile, as one of my IRR colleagues stated so bluntly in September 2004, "Don't show up and stay home: have integrity and go to Iraq."
 
Matthis Chiroux has disregarded an order. That's fine. He should do what he feels he should do, but he should also be prepared to pay the price. His deploying brothers and sisters will also pay a price, some more than others. And while he sits in the comfort of his home, smothered in media attention because of his courage (of a different sort), he should remember the honorable who kept their promises and serve in harm's way in his stead.
 
In the meantime, the government should prosecute instead of bluff.
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Warning

I recall a Spring 1997 day when I was in high school. My class was ushered into one of my high school's multiple auxiliary gyms to hear a talk on the dangers of AIDS.

Inside, a guest speaker picked four students. Pointing at each one, she said, "One of you is HIV-positive right now. Another one of you will be." Use condoms, was the message. We were all scared.

And many kids did, and do. In fact, some schools (and even municipalities) hand out free condoms. In 7th grade, my health teacher even showed me how to put one on properly.

Thus, sexual activity among teens has done little other than increase over the past 20 or so years. Why? Well, there are several factors, but nowhere do I recall Magic Johnson, any of my teachers, Hollywood, and other public officials telling my generation to, say, not engage in certain activities.

Still, we were all supposed to be hysterically afraid of AIDS while be nearly encouraged to have sex. The message was tantamount to my Mom telling me, "Go ahead and play with the paper clip in the light socket, just make sure you're grounded."

But, alas, the hysteria was just that: hysteria. UN AIDS scientists have admitted that they have long overestimated the epidemic. Outside of Africa, there is no widespread HIV outbreak, particularly among heterosexuals. Only high risk groups--homosexual men, intreveneous needle users, and prostitutes ("sex workers") and their clients--risk epidemic conditions: all things we were not allowed to acknowledge for the past 20 years.

While it still remains a bad idea to have casual, unprotected sex on a regular basis, we now know for certain that the AIDS scare was indeed a scare.

Meanwhile, we hear daily warnings about things like...global warming, bird flu, George Bush, diminishing oil reserves, pandemic flu...
 
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The Choice

I had just finished reading an article about the concession of one Hillary Clinton. Headlines read, "Help Elect Barack Obama" and other similar phrases.
 
So I, tongue firmly in cheek, asked my wife, "Honey, are you going to help elect Barack Obama?"
 
"Nope."
 
"So you're going to help elect John McCain?"
 
"Not him, either," she said.
 
"So you're going to help elect Barack Obama?"
 
Then I got the lecture about how she wasn't going to vote for someone simply as a vote against another person. After all, she said, that was how John Kerry got so many votes in 2004.
 
Earlier she had asked, "Who is running as a libertarian, other than Ron Paul?"
 
"Bob Barr," I answered. Not much of an option there, either.
 
So goes the conservative voter quandry. We effectively don't have anyone, but we've been here before (Bob Dole--likeable, sure, but not a conservative's dream).
 
The question we have to answer between now and Election Day is this: Is is better to allow a socialist to screw up the country for 2-4 years and let the Democrats get the blame or to elect someone who will execute a lot of the Democrats' policies anyway, but who would at least, to a degree, prosecute the war and nominate decent judges, even though the GOP will get the blame when the country still gets screwed up by a far-left Congress? (That is the best run-on sentence of the week.)
 
So it looks inevitable: tax hikes, rising energy costs, some form of socialized health care, stagnant economic growth, assaults on business achievement, etc. In other words, life will stink economically for my "rich" family of three because we are too "rich" because our house has two people who work at least 40 hours each week and have managed to stay out of prison.
 
What do we do? I haven't figured that one out yet. When I do, I will let you know. There is plenty of time to think about it, after all.
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